So what IS the deal with those darn
Updated 2/17/05
Update Notes
"Disclaimer"
Everything you've
ever wondered about CBS's "fake" memos,
Bush's
Guard service and more -- much more...
"I
was not prepared to shoot my
eardrum out with a shotgun in order to
get
a deferment. Nor was I
willing to go to Canada. So I chose to better
myself
by learning how to
fly airplanes" -George
Bush
(1990 - Dallas Morning News)
Preface
The goal of modern propaganda is no
longer to transform opinion but to arouse an active and mythical belief.
- Jacques Ellul
This web page is about one particular recently "aroused"
mythical belief: that the memos CBS used in a 60
Minutes Wednesday report back on Sept. 8, 2004 were forged,
presumably as a means to make George Bush, Jr. look bad and perhaps
undermine his re-election campaingn against challenger John Kerry..
For all the massive amount of
press coverage, accusations, and
discussions that the forgery charges provoked, it was both bizarre and
very disturbing to see utterly innane, confused and incompetent our
much ballyhooed "free press" was in dealing with the matter across the
board. The whole point of having a free press is to have an
unencomberedly informed public -- which means the news media has to get
off their collective asses once in a while and do some actual
investigating, as opposed to, say, oh...just shooting off their mouths
and
word processors about things they know little about, or posing
reporters in front of stuff and having them comment on things that they
too know as little about.
At the time of the full fury of the memo storm, I
don't seem to recall there being a nationwide shortage of news interns
for at least some elementary fact checking and research to be done. And
given the resources available to even
moderately sized news organizations, the overall piss-poor, dumbass,
and clueless "coverage" of the situation was totally inexcusable. While
you expect something like FOX News to be laughably biased and
incompetent, you usually can and should expect more from the likes of
CNN and the New York Times.
And it's a huge, huge mistake
to look at the memos episode as being some sort of
triumph
of the new media -- aka the blog sites -- over the old. If one
of the bottom line responsibilities of journalism is to sort
out truth from fiction and then clearly present the facts to public,
the memos episode demonstrated not only a complete
failure of mainstream journalism, but how the big blog sites
offer an even poorer alternative -- news by mob rule. There is no true
"new media" involved here -- just
newer methods for spreading propaganda and bogus
accusations by
governments and like-minded individuals. Political groups have long
done things like
post posters and spread newsletters
to get their views across and disparage & mock the oppostiion. Are
political blog sites fundamentally
different in any significant way whatsoever? One part selected
truth, five parts rumor, ten parts utter nonsense, and twenty parts
opinion do not a good news source make.
In terms of the memo controversy, how
could daisywheel printers and dedicated word processors be so
overlooked and utterly forgotten about despite once so ubiquitous in
the 70's and early 80's? They were always prime suspects, but even
normally well-read, well-informed average Americans had no clue that
such things even existed back then -- and who's fault is that? People
not being suspicious and Googling enough? Do individuals have to be
their own investigative journalists now if they want to know what's
really going on? Could it be that the ranting, nonsensical
commentary and specious, tabloid news reporting of FOX News is the
model now for any news desiring maximum viewership/readerhip and
profits? After all, pretty much all major news organizations are now
beholden to large,
profit-minded corporate owners or are large, profit-minded
corportate entities themselves, so.....
If the mainstream news media has become akin to a restaurant that
serves chicken soup without there being any actual chicken in it,
bloggers at best tend to "compensate" by dumping in cans of cat
food.
You might get your little bit of chicken, but....
In any case...
Introduction - The Main Points
|
Now that CBS
has publicly retracted its authentication of the memos, it’s
case closed, isn’t it? The memos were forgeries created in Microsoft
Word using Times New Roman, were they not?
Nope.
It was all just some
unconscionable, tacky conspiracy to besmirch our
President's totally honorable years of service in the Air National
Guard,
was it not?
Nope.
Why bother with this
anymore?
Rather has been thoroughly
discredited and he's retired, and Kerry lost.
Well, it
has been a time-sucking bother, but....
What's that "Not Observed"
stuff on the left?
You'll
see.
|
This webpage is very, very dense with content and links, but I wanted
to be thorough and preempt any nitpicking.
Let’s start with the main points, shall we:
- Were those Killian memos forged?
No.
- What about all that evidence and all
those people saying that they
were?
There never, ever was any good evidence, actually, and all “those
people” were either right-wing or government stooges, incompetent and
lazy-ass investigators and/or news personnel, outright liars, the badly
misinformed, the generally not very bright, or some combination thereof.
- What about that CBS
Panel Report?
That was no more than yet another example of incompetent investigation
with its main focus evidently just on facesaving and scapegoating.
- What about how the proportional
spacing and superscripting shown in
the memos were not available
on anything other than
expensive and complicated typesetting
machines at the time?
That was just no more than an example of incompetent investigation and
journalism. The now long obsolete IBM Executive typewriter for one was
still commonly used then, and that could proportionally print, be
bought with different fonts, and had interchangeable typebars for
special characters. Super/subscripting was also easy enough it: you
just roll the platen a half line -- a "click" -- in either direction. I
myself was pretty gung-ho on the memos being created on an Executive
until I got my hands on an extensive sample to analyze, only to
discover that its proportional spacing didn't match up at all with that
shown in the memos.
So I then turned my attention to another device around in the early
70's fully
capable of creating the memos as they appear, another long obsolete
although it was near universal office staple for years until
being
displaced by laser printers during the mid-80's: a daisywheel printer.
And in this particular case, given the timeframe of the memos,
specifically a Diablo
model "Hytype I."
- What about how the memos could
easily have been created
on Microsoft
Word?
Actually, they can’t. This has been the biggest lie -- both the spacing
and the fonts themselves don’t
match up well at all under close scrutiny. Most proportional, serif fonts
have a family
resemblance in terms of appearance and spacing, so finding
approximate matchups is easy, especially when you're deliberately
resizing and overlaying to achieve the best looking matchup, as has
been the case with ALL all the pro-Word people. But closer you look at
the details of the spacing and fonts, the more you notice consistent
discrepencies between the original memos and the would-be Word replicas
.
- But I’ve seen samples
on the
Internet and read/seen experts
saying
otherwise…
Those samples are evidently bogus or at best extremely misleading, as
well as those
alleged experts.
- Isn’t there a long list of other
problems with signatures,
improper
formatting, terminology,
how Killian wouldn’t have scheduled
a medical
exam on Mother’s Day, and so on
and so forth, which also indicate
how the memos were likely forged?
There aren’t any such “problems” – those reported as such have all
turned out to be entirely
frivolous, erroneous, or just plain dambass lies: the signature was one
of the few things a CBS document expert verified; the formatting of
Killian's "Memorandum for Record" is exactly
in keeping with Air Force standards; disputed terms like "billet" are widely used in the Air Force/Air
National Guard; Killian never scheduled Bush for a medical exam on
Mother's Day, and all of the so on and so forth crap is exactly that,
crap. And further more, the contents of the memos are 100% consistent
with other, more official documents, right down to the little details
in references to names, forms and regulations. The time frames all
match up as well.
- But what people like Killian's
former secretary, Marian Knox, and Killian's commander at the time,
Bobby Hodges, saying that the memos are likely fakes even if they do admit the
contents are true?
For one thing, of the three people who would know for sure if
the memos are fake or authentic, two are dead and third has been very
conspicuously (to those who pay attention) non-talkative. The dead
include Killian himself of course, and his colleague, Lt. Col.William
Harris, who was Bush's squadron commander
- Brave -- or stupid -- words, but can
you prove any of this?
I'll prove all of it. Keep reading.
A Brief Summary of Findings
At the time of the memos, there were 3 basic devices capable of
proportional printing and super/subscripting: the IBM
Selectric Composer, the IBM Executive
typewriter, and Diablo/Qume daisywheel printers.
For all that initial inane talk of Selectric
typewriters and the overly complicated Composer, the most likely
candidates were always the then common Executive and daisywheel
printers. Executive typewriters barely got a mention by the
mainstream media even though they had been around for decades, and
daisywheel printers none at all even though
Diablo daisywheels had been around since 1969 (both Diablo
and Qume were founded by David S. Lee) and became widely and
quickly adopted, especially by law
offices as part of dedicated
word processing systems. I was able to obtain and
examine a lengthy technical manual that had been composed on an
Executive. And while the manual was proportionally spaced and had full
superscripting in small fonts, the spacing didn't match up. That left
having a some model of daisywheel as being the most likely device that
the
memos were created on. I was able to locate an extensive ribbon cross
reference
As far as the contents of the memos go, again the news media completely
botched up in doing its homework -- the contents and the timelines of
the
memos are completely backed up
by official
DoD
documents. Indeed, the contents of
one
of
the supposedly forged documents is
actually directly backed up by 4
separate DoD records and indirectly
by a 5th. Even the much-maligned format of the memos
turns out to be entirely in
keeping with Air Force/Air National Guard standards and
recommendations: a Powerpoint presentation titled "Introduction to Air
Force Correspondence" can be found here.
(I put some relevant screen captures here.)
Being frustrated by the ineptness of the media and tired of just
getting in pointless
online arguments, I decided to bite the bullet and do the
homework. I created this web page back in October and have been
updating it since periodically, even after Bush became re-elected --
which was a very, very sad day for well-informed people who like this
country.
Part One -- The
"Created by Word" Lie.
A) The superscripting problem
For starters, try this little test: bring up Microsoft Word and type --
do NOT just copy and paste -- in the following:
187th 111th 1st 147th 9921st
Note what happens to the th's and st's:
The above represents the default behavior of Word -- it will
automatically superscript instances of "th" of "st" when they
immediately follow a number.
Now look at the pattern of superscripting I extacted from all 4 CBS
memos compared to how they appear in Word equivalents:
Note how none of the st's are
superscripted. While most can be
explained away by an inexplicable gap preceding them,
there are 2 with no such gaps and they still aren't superscripted. The
results for the "th" superscripting are obviously very mixed: 3 are
superscripted; 2 are unsuperscripted with a preceding gap; and 2 are
unsuperscripted even without the gap.
The first group of non-superscripts came from the Aug.1st, 1972 memo.
The fogery believers might try to explain this away by claiming that
Word's auto-superscripting was turned off. Do you know how to turn off
auto-scripting in Word? Why don't you take a break and try to figure it
out. If you don't want to or can't, this is the
precedure: while in Word, click on the Tools menu, and then AutoCorrect
Options->"AutoFormat As You Type" and then
finally uncheck the check box next to "Ordinals (1st) with
superscript."
Simple, eh?
But this turns off all superscripting. What about that second group of
super/non-supercripting samples, which are from the May 4th, 1972 memo:
It's obviously mixed. Now try typing this in Word and see how
convenient
it is to skip superscripting on the first "111th" and the "1st," but
then have it on for the last "111th". A bit awkward, eh? And does it
make any sense? Only if superscripting
was a manual operation and if, say, the printwheel only had a small
"th" character" and not a small "st" -- as well may have been the case
with a daisywheel printer attached to an old dedicated word processor.
This
inconsistency in the
superscripting is not characteristic of any modern word processing
system.
Now let's get to the second problem with the created-with-Word Times
New Roman scenario:
B) The Letterhead Problem
This is something I just noticed and figured very, very
recently. I would feel stupid
about not thinking of it sooner, except no one else apparently thought
of it.
First look closely at the letterhead printing on two of the
memos:
Ironically, yet again, the
centering on the letterhead had been brought up as more proof of
forgery -- not only are these proportionally spaced but are perfectly
centered as well. What possible device in 1972 could do such things?
Well, actually, again Diablo daisywheel printers could -- like
proportional spacing, centering is built in. And these letterhead are
actually extremely damning evidence against the created-by-Word
scenario.
First note two things -- the "th" isn't superscripted in either as it
would have been in Word; and look how close the letterheads resemble
each other. Many of the forgery faithful have already noted the over
close matchup, and very, VERY mistakenly took this as yet more proof of
forgery.
But before I go further, let's first go over a few points.
The pro-forgery people have said all along that the memos were
artificially aged by rerunning them through copier and/or fax machines,
and that this accounts for the poor print quality of the memo. As I
note further
down, the widely quoted Joseph M. Newcomer, Ph.D excused his having to
use an oddball font size, 11.5-point, to allegedly dupe some of the
memos (he doesn't actually show his results) because of "an
accident of the many levels of transformation from the original
(wherever that is) and the photocopying, scanning, document conversion,
and re-printing. The 11.5-point font could represent a reduction to 96%
of the original size in the various transformations."
So in this scenario, the forger created each memo on Word and then ran
it through some fax/copier combination, which introduced some
distortion as well as the desired 30-yr-old doc look.
So let's suppose the above two memos did start off as two pristine Word
documents. Then Nth generation copies were made via some copier and/or
fax machine.
Time for a trick question: if the Word originals were still
around, and
considering only the letterhead section common both memos, what
logically would have the closest match-up: the Word original and its
Nth generation decendent or the two Nth generation copies?
Think carefully before answering -- I
can wait....dum, de dum, dum, de dee....
Answer: the Word original and
its decendent.
The logic shouldn't be too hard:
each recopying introduces a some amount of random distortion, both in
copying process itself and in the feeding-in of the documents. We don't
know exactly how much, but if you use the same fax or copier each time
and with the same technique in feeding-in/lining-up the documents,
it'll likely be some roughly consistent amount -- let's call that X. So
after 10 generations of photocopying, your distortion is approximately
10X from the
original. They should sitll match-up so some degree -- modern copiers
and fix machines are pretty precise, even though they break down as
often as the old models.
Now remember that in this scenario, there are two original
Word documents, each with the same letterhead. Given the precision of
modern laser and inkjet printers, there should be a virtually perfect
matchup between the Word letterheads.
Now if you recopy the second memo
exactly as the first, you would likewise introduce approximate 10X of
distortion relative to the
original.
The weak-minded might think, "Well, if the originals are identical to
each other, and if each copy is distorted 10X from its original, then
both final copies are 10X from the original and therefore likely
identical."
Nope -- the correct answer is that the two final copies are closer to
having 20X of distortion relative to each other. The copies deteriorate
in a way similar to how two initially new 1-dollar bills do relative to
each other with each use -- they're not going to get wrinkled,
folded or stained in the exact same way, even if they get used to buy
the same item at the same store and from the same people. This
deterioration process is a form of "entropy," which is a fundamental
part
of the "Second
Law of Thermodynamics" - a rather important tenet in Physics.
Now, let's suppose the memos aren't forgeries, and that they were
created
with, say, a Diablo daisywheel printer. I should mention that I
actually suspect that the above
memos were created on preprinted letterheads, and I'm not the only one
who thinks this. But whether preprinted or created on a Diablo, the
letterheads on the original documents should also match up extremely
well since Diablo's were heavy duty, precise printers.So, again, you
start off with two memos having virtually identical
letterheads, but in this case NOT created by Word.
Time for the 2nd trick question:
in this scenario, what logically would
have the closest match-up regarding the letterhead text: the above two
memos, each having been photocopied/faxed independently an unknown
number of times, or a Word recreation and either of the two memos?
Again think carefully before answering -- I can wait....dum, de dum,
dum, de dee....
Answer: the two memos. It
doesn't matter if Word Times New Roman
approximates the proportional spacing used on Diablos, it's a different
printing system separated by 30+ years from the originals. So even if
there was a large amount of distortion introduced to the memos over the
years though photocopying, the Word recreation should still have a
different "fingerprint" from those of the memos.
So in other words, if either of the
two letterheads in those two memos above match up closer to a Word
recreation, the memos are very, very likely forged. But if the
letterheads match
up closer to each other than a Word recreation, then the memos are
very, very likely authentic.
So here are the two letterheads, extracted and colorized:
And here are they merged:
A not-bad match-up, eh?
Now here's a Word recreation:
And merged with the blue copy:
And after color shifting to blue, merged with the red original:
Hmm...look at that: even after very careful resizing and matching up,
and despite it being a small amount of text, the result is obviously
inferior to the memo-memo matchup.
Not clear enough for you? Here are all three again, enlarged,
sharpened, and the colors more saturated:
The lower image even more clearly shows how the letterheads on both
memos are a dead-on perfect match, indicating that the "X" amount of
distortion is very minute. The two upper images just as clearly show a
"consistent inconsistency" with trying to match up Word recreation with
either of the originals, most noticeably on the second line.
Therefore,
according to those rules of
logic and physics I laid out, the memos weren't forged.
Yeah, I
know other people on the Internet have claimed a perfect matchup
between Word and the letterheads, but while you can get a fair matchup
like I did, it's definitely not perfect and without a
doub clearly inferior to the memo-memo matchup. And as I demonstrated,
if the
memo-memo matchup is better then the Word-memo matchup, the memos
weren't forged, at least with Word.
Actually, between this and the superscripting issue, I'm pretty done
proving that Word wasn't used to forge the memos, if the memos were
forged, (which they aren't) but I still have to address the contents
and all those other, pretty nonsensical claims of evidence for forgery.
But I should, for thoroughness, not only solidly nail the coffin for
the created-by-Word theory, but also dig the deep hole and bury it...
B) The Font/Spacing Problem
You've likely seen those seemingly convincing overlays where someone
manages to fit a Word-created replica of the CYA memo over the
"original," something like this animated overlay by Charles Johnson
from the Little Green Footballs blogsite:
http://littlegreenfootballs.com/weblog/?entry=12526_Bush_Guard_Documents-_Forged
http://www.littlegreenfootballs.com/weblog/?entry=12551_One_More_CBS_Document_Example
Pretty impressive, eh? And convincing proof for at least the infamous
CYA memo being an obvious forgery, no?
If it were true --it's actually bogus, though. It's faker than Michael
Jackon's nose or FOX News's claim of being "Fair and Balanced."
Here's an enlarged version of the CYA memo.
Now if you carefully recreate the above in your Word (the version
doesn't matter - every version from 2K, Windows or Mac will work), you
should get something like this:
Note that you need to double-space
after the periods and the colon
(yes, this is unusual these days), and "SmartQuotes" has to be on.
Now if you blend or overlay this with the CBS original and adjust for
best fit, you should get something like this (I used blue for the original and red for the Word version):
Hmmm....a little bit different looking from Johnson's version, eh?
Actually, if you look very, very carefully at how the individual
characters shift and move in that animated overlay he created, you
should notice that even that has a lot of
inconsistencies despite him resizing and overlaying for the best
possible fit.
It might be
argued that the inconsistencies in spacing could be caused by the
distortion introduced by all the faxing and/copy of the original, but
there is a simpler explanation -- Word wasn't used.
And we get to the final issue with
the Created-by-Word scenenario:
Background
Bush's
National Guard service record has been an object of criticism and
suspicion since his days as governor of Texas, but became much more of
an issue when Kerry's Vietnam service and post-Vietnam antiwar
activities came under attack by Republicans, starting
back in April of this year with "questions" about when Kerry tossed
some of his medals during some antiwar protests. This escalated
into attacks from both sides about which candidate was more honorable
during the days of Vietnam. From any neutral viewpoint, Kerry by a huge
factor has
the better resume, especially for that
time period,
in war and out, including being a public figure in the news, on
talk
shows, and even
appearing in Doonesbury;
consequently, the attacks on Kerry's record have been far more
relentless, petty, and deceptive, reaching a crescendo of sorts with a
series of ads by "The Swift Boat
Veterans for Truth," a
group of Vietnam veterans having little or no connection to
Kerry during the war (or apparently
to truth in general), but having a whole lot of
connections currently to the Republican party. The group is headed
by an old Vietnam-era nemesis of Kerry named John O'Neill,
whom President
Nixon once used to "get" John Kerry. The basic truth is that Kerry
did his job in Vietnam and was fully deserving
of his medals.
While there was some
media investigation of Bush's Guard service towards the beginning
of the year, the spring offensive against Kerry drew attention away for
a while, but
not completely.
Aside from the extensive Wikipedia link, there are some good summaries
of Bush's
National Guard record based on information to date are here,
here,
and here.
A very nicely well-documented and detailed comparison of Kerry and
Bush's service records, with timelines, can be found here.
The issue of Bush's Guard service really came roaring back, though, on
September 8, 2004, when CBS's 60
Minutes did a little story involving some old memos....
Alrighty then…
Let’s start with the main points, shall we:
- Were those Killian memos forged?
No.
- What about all that evidence and all
those people saying that they
were?
There never, ever was any good evidence, actually, and all “those
people” were either right-wing or government stooges, incompetent and
lazy-ass investigators and news personnel, outright liars, the badly
misinformed, the generally not very bright, or some combination thereof.
- What about that CBS Panel Report?
That was no more than yet another example of incompetent investigation
with its main focus evidently just on facesaving and scapegoating.
- What about how the proportional
spacing and superscripting shown in
the memos were not
available on anything other than
expensive and complicated typesetting
machines at the time?
That was just no more than an example of incompetent investigation and
journalism – there was at least one device from the early 70's fully
capable of creating the memos as they appear, a long obsolete one
that had been, though, a near universal office staple until being
displaced by laser printers during the mid-80's: a daisywheel printer.
And in this particular case, given the timeframe of the memos,
specifically a Diablo
model "Hytype I."
A comment:
The goal of modern propaganda is no
longer to transform opinion but to arouse an active and mythical belief.
- Jacques Ellul
For all the massive amount of press coverage, accusations, and
discussions that the forgery charges provoked, it was bizarre how
daisywheel printers, once so ubiquitous in the 70's and early 80's
along with their NEC Spinwriter cousins, could have fallen so far from
group memory. But the whole point of having a free press is to have an
unencomberedly informed public -- which means the news media has to get
off their collective asses once in a while and do some actual
investigating, as opposed to, say, oh...just shooting their mouths and
word processors about things they know little about, or posing
reporters in front of stuff and having them comment on things that they
know little about. At the time of the full fury of the memo storm, I
don't seem to recall there being a nationwide shortage of news interns,
and given the resources available to even
moderately sized news organizations, the overall piss-poor, dumbass,
and clueless "coverage" of the situation was totally inexcusable. While
you expect something like FOX News to be laughably biased and
incompetent, you usually can and should expect more from the likes of
CNN and the New York Times. On the other hand, ranting, nonsensical
commentary and tabloid-style psuedo-news as been very, very lucrative
to FOX, and all the major news organizations are beholden to large,
profit-minded corporate owners or are large, profit-minded
corportate entities themselves, so.....
And it's a huge, huge mistake
to look at the memos episode as being some sort of
triumph of the new media -- aka the blog sites -- over the old. If one
of the bottom line responsibilities of journalism is to some sort
out and then clearly present the facts of some murky situation of
public interest, the memos episode demonstrated not only a complete
failure of mainstream journalism, but how the big blog sites represent
no more than
news by mob rule. There is no true "new media" involved here -- just
newer methods for spreading rumors, gossip and disinformation by
like-minded individuals. Political groups have long done things like
post posters and spread newsletters
to get their views across and disparage & mock the oppostiion. Are
political blog sites fundamentally different in any significant way?
If the mainstream news media has become akin to a restaurant that
serves chicken soup without there being any actual chicken in it,
bloggers at best tend to "compensate" by dumping in cans of cat food.
You might get a little bit of chicken, but....
End of comment.
In any case, Diablo Systems was founded in 1969 by David Lee and set
the standards for subsequent daisywheel manufacturers, so much so
that many of the later dot matrix and early laser printers came with a
Diablo-emulation mode. In its early years Diablo was exclusively an OEM
manufacturer for other companies, most notably "dedicated word
processor" manufacturers like Lexitron, CPT and Vydec. A dedicated word
processor was a specialized computer that resembled but predated
personal PC's and,
as its name implies, it did word processing and little else. It was a
very expensive device costing upwards to $20,000, but was quickly
adopted by businesses with high-volume document needs, most notably law
firms. Diablos and true Diablo-compatibles could fully proportionally
space, center and right justify, and super/subscript with a huge
selection of easily interchangeable printwheels. A
Diablo "Hytype I" was by far the most likely device that created the
memos since it both fits the timeline and that its default proportional
spacing setting evidently matches up rather well with that shown in the
memos.
- What about how the memos could
easily have been created on Microsoft
Word?
Actually, they can’t. Both the spacing and the fonts themselves don’t
match up well at all under close scrutiny. Ironically, the
superscripting, which the clueless initially pointed to as being proof
that the memos couldn't have been created on a typewriter, doesn’t
match up at all well either if you look at all
the memos.
- But I’ve seen samples on the
Internet and read/seen experts saying
otherwise…
Those samples are evidently bogus or fraudulent, as well as those
alleged experts.
- Isn’t there a long list of other
problems with signatures, improper
formatting, terminology, how Killian wouldn’t have scheduled a medical
exam on Mother’s Day, and so on and so forth, which also indicate
how the memos were likely forged?
There aren’t any such “problems” – those reported as such are entirely
frivolous and erroneous. The contents of the memos are 100% consistent
with other, more official documents, and both the format and
terminology are not only entirely in keeping with Air Force/ANG
standards, but even match up with recommendations for those types of
memos.
- Brave -- or stupid -- words, but can
you prove any of this?
I'll prove all of it. Keep reading.
3) The Font Problem
This is the section of the CBS CYA memo that caught my eye immediately
and was the primary reason why I was so instantly dismissive of
the Word Times New Roman claim:
Note: how the "S" drops slightly below line; how uneven "Hodges" is;
the height and shape of "t"; and how funky the "ss" is in "pressured"
Now see which, if any, of the following matches up best with it:
Only one of these fonts is actually
Word Times New Roman. The less slow will be able to figure out
what is what pretty
quickly, but not through the print samples. One is Garamond, one is
Goudy, and one was created with WordPerfect for DOS.
Times New Roman
is an old newspaper font created in 1932 and Garamond is even much older.
Microsoft Word, WordPerfect, and other word
processors are themselves merely replicating these and other
established fonts.
Now, some people have noted that the poor quality of the memos made
font identification a little problematic, but that hasn't stopped some
supposed typography
experts this Dr. Joseph M. Newcomer character here from proclaiming
firmly that the CYA memo was morally, ethic'lly, spiritually,
physically, positively, absolutely,
undeniably and reliably created with Word Times New Roman. Hmmm...not
so fast there, Munchkinheads.
If you look at the CYA memo, you will notice that there are three
instances
of "Harris" nicely spaced apart. What if we took all three out and
compared them to each other and to a Word-created one:
Hmmm... Those three CYA Harris's seem rather surprisingly consistent,
don't they: a blocky
"H", a left leaning "a", a distorted "rr", an "i" with pigeon feet, and
a pretty loopy "s". They don't really seem to match up so well to the
Word version on close inspection, do they?
Actually, I personally think the "a" sort of looks more like this one:
Which I just happened to have noticed here.
If you want to do your own forensic analysis, use any old good photo
editor/paint progam to pull out and enlarge individual letters for
comparison. The trick is to look for consistent differences, as with
those Harris samples. It just takes only one letter to be consistently
different from Sample A to Sample B, however subtle, in order to pretty
much eliminate a font correspondence.
Look at this other "evidence" I lifted from Newcomer's site here:
He resized his Word Times New Roman sample so that things lined up
horizontally, but for all the effort and verbiage he spent on
longwinded and mostly
pointless tangents, including his supposed expertise, he apparently
failed to notice that the fonts in the Killian memos don't really match
up very well with those of Word Times New Roman. Also he made this
rather bizaare statement in regards to his attempts to recreate some of
the memos in Word: "I was a bit
annoyed that the experiment dealing with the 18-August-1973 memo was
not compatible, until I changed the font to an 11.5-point font. Then it
was a perfect match, including the superscript 'th'".
An "11.5-point font"! Try to select 11.5 as a point size in Word Times
New Roman. Can't figure out how? Here's the trick: while in Word, click
on the Format menu, then Font, and then type in 11.5 in the widow just
below Size. Simple, eh?
Newcomer rationalizes this with, "However, this might be an accident of
the many levels of transformation from the original (wherever that is)
and the photocopying, scanning, document conversion, and re-printing.
The 11.5-point font could represent a reduction to 96% of the original
size in the various transformations."
And if pigs were antelopes, we could have pork on the range.
Also, while he says he got a perfect match, Newcomer's very lengthy
website has no proof of this. And for all his claims of being an
expert, a pioneer, blah, blah, blah...he apparently never heard of
daisywheel printers -- there's not a single mention of them on his
website despite them fitting the timeline of the memos and having fine
proportional printing control and full super/subscripting capability.
As has been the case with all the so-called experts involved in this
sad-ass affair, Joseph M. Newcomer, Ph.D shows no demonstrably useful
expertise here.
The bottom line
is that the font in the Killian/CBS memos does not match up well with
Word Times New Roman.
So what does? Well....
Diablo Daisywheel Printers
1) Could a Diablo daisywheel printer
print like that in the memos?
Yes. Diablo and true Diablo-compatible daisywheel printers were
fully
capable of proportional printing and full super/subscripting since
their inception. They also came with a huge variety of fonts via easily
interchangeable printwheels. Special characters varied printwheel to
printwheel, and the printwheels themselves could he customized with
whatever special characters the customer wanted. Proportional printing
could be done either via the built-in standard proportional setting
with a simple command, or under complete software control -- Diablos
could increment to as little as1/120th of an inch horizontally, which
is more than fine enough to handle any character map.
Since daisywheel printers have been long obsolete (Windows doesn't even
support them), getting a good, appropriate proportional print
sample from a Diablo or Diablo-compatible printer has been tricky. A
friend and I were able to get an old DEC daisywheel functioning, and
while it was made by Qume, who mostly made Diablo-code compatible
printers, DEC's codes were used instead and they did not include a
simple proportional print command. Evidently any proportional
printing would have had to be done via software control.
Searching for print samples on the Internet was not productive. I was
finally able to dig up some old PC Magazine "Printer Torture Test"
issues that included daisywheel printers. There was unfortunately not
many useful print samples available, but I did find these two:
Note how the length of the word "Proportional" matches up with that of
the words "Pica Bold" above it in both printer samples. Not exactly a
lot to work
with, but good enough to extrapolate from for a test. "Pica" refers to
one of the two common pitch sizes that are/were used by typewriters,
with the other called "Elite." Pica printed at exactly 10 characters
per inch; Elite at 12. Also the default line spacing for typewriters
and daisywheel printers at the time was 6 lines/inch and de
n old corresponds to Courier
12 on modern printers so that gives a reference point for the
proportional printing of these two samples. I looked at all the fonts
available in my version of Word to find one that would match up with
Courier as displayed in the samples
with their speciBut I was
But if you still want to believe that the Word version is sort of close
enough,
remember that font descriptions are very, very precise. Times New
Roman and Times Roman, for instance, are trademarked
names for specific fonts with
an accompanying description of how each character should look, as well
as its spacing and kerning (an extra adjustment of spacing between
certain pairs of letters to make them look more balanced.) There's no
such thing as "Sort of Times New Roman" -- there's virtually no printed
character that doesn't belong to a distinct font family. The Goudy,
Garamond and WordPerfect samples from the previous comparisons also
imply that they too sort of,
kind of, look like they could have created the CYA memo.
A good introduction to fonts can be found here:
http://graphicdesign.sfcc.spokane.cc.wa.us/tutorials/process/type_basics/type_families.htm
There are some animated overlays of a Word CYA memo on the original
floating around the Internet. The idea was to show how near identical
the two versions are, but if you focus on how individual characters
shift and change, it actually helps with identifying the differences
between whatever the CYA font is and Word Times New Roman. I have a
good one here.
The font stuff is kind of tricky, I admit. Most serif fonts used in
business tend to look much alike, but Times New Roman is Times New
Roman....
Another guy, David Hailey did a preliminary but fairly comprehensive analysis of memo fonts
and came to the
conclusion that the memos had to have been typewritten based on
telltale signs of mechanical artifacts. He did a cute experiment where
he created a character-by-character replication of on of the
memos using typewriter characters:
Close, but not quite there.... He needed to investigate further to see
if there existed devices at the time that could both replicate the
appearance of the characters and
do so proportionally. I should mention that Hailey was attacked for his
analysis by morons like this and this and this.
Also I should give a mention to this
guy who went the extra mile to
run a Word CYA copy through a fax and copier a few times to simulate
the
aging process in the CYA original. It's not bad at first glance:
But, again, the details are in the
details. Looked how it's warped: unlike the real CYA memo, there isn't
unevenness in individual letters -- here they are warped in groups of
letters, especially if you look hard at the
Harris's in this case. Actually, if you duplicate the Harris
comparison, you end up with this:
Even though the "H's" indicate clearly that there much more fax/copier
distortion in this case, there is a much better match-up to their clean
Word sibling at the bottom -- the "i's" match up very well, the "a's"
are straighter, the "rr's" much less distorted, and the "s's" have the
odd flattening. A nice try, but it ends up hurting the Word argument
much more than it helps, again if you look at the details. All these
characted by character comparisons make all such pro-Word arguments
flounder a bit.
Again very interesting, no?
Much, much more
later...
|
Now that CBS
has publicly retracted its authentication of the memos, it’s
case closed, isn’t it? The memos were forgeries created in Microsoft
Word using Times New Roman, were they not?
Nope.
It was all just some
unconscionable, tacky conspiracy to besmirch our
President's totally honorable years of service in the Air National
Guard,
was it not?
Nope.
Why bother in any case –
Rather has been thoroughly
discredited and Kerry will lose, right?
Well,
Kerry did lose, but....
What's that "Not Observed"
stuff on the left?
You'll
see.
|
Quick Index
1) Introduction
2) Background
3) A Brief History of the CBS Memos
4) Proportionally Printed Record Released by the DOD
5) Summary of Bush's Guard Service
6) Bush's Point Records
7) Bush's Guard Service Timeline
8) Preface/Rant
9) Evidence - Logic
10)
Evidence - Fun with Fonts
11)
Evidence - What devices could print proportionally, superscript, etc,
at the time of the memos?
12)
Evidence - How would Killian have access to a daisywheel printer?
13)
Evidence - Why would Killian use a law firm?
14)
Conclusions
Introduction
This webpage is very, very dense with content and links, but I can tell
you that at the time of the memos, there were 3 devices capable of
proportional printing and super/subscripting: the IBM
Selectic Composer, the IBM Executive
typewriter, and Diablo/Qume daisywheel printers.
For all that initial inane talk of Selectric
typewriters and the overly complicated Composer, the most likely
candidates were always the then common Executive and daisywheel
printers. Executive typewriters barely got a mention by the
mainstream media even though they had been around for decades, and
daisywheel printers none at all even though
Diablo daisywheels had been around since 1969 (both Diablo
and Qume were founded by David S. Lee) and became widely and
quickly adopted, especially by law
offices as part of dedicated
word processing systems.
As far as the contents of the memos go, again the mainstream media did
not do its homework at all -- the contents and the timelines of the
memos are very much backed up by official DOD
documents released under the Freedom
of Information Act (FOIA), as
well as the recollections
of people who were around at the time, most noticably
Killian's secretary Marion Knox and Killian's friend and collegue,
Robert Strong. Indeed, the contents of
one
of
the supposedly forged documents is
actually directly backed up by 4 separate DOD records and indirectly
by a 5th.
Being frustrated by the ineptness of the media and tired of just
getting in pointless
online arguments, I decided to bite the bullet and do the
homework....
Background
Bush's
National Guard service record has been an object of criticism and
suspicion since his days as governor of Texas, but became much more of
an issue when Kerry's Vietnam service and post-Vietnam antiwar
activities came under attack by Republicans, starting
back in April of this year with "questions" about when Kerry tossed
some of his medals during some antiwar protests. This escalated
into attacks from both sides about which candidate was more honorable
during the days of Vietnam. From any neutral viewpoint, Kerry by a huge
factor has
the better resume, especially for that
time period,
in war and out, including being a public figure in the news, on
talk
shows, and even
appearing in Doonesbury;
consequently, the attacks on Kerry's record have been far more
relentless, petty, and deceptive, reaching a crescendo of sorts with a
series of ads by "The Swift Boat
Veterans for Truth," a
group of Vietnam veterans having little or no connection to
Kerry during the war (or apparently
to truth in general), but having a whole lot of
connections currently to the Republican party. The group is headed
by an old Vietnam-era nemesis of Kerry named John O'Neill,
whom President
Nixon once used to "get" John Kerry. The basic truth is that Kerry
did his job in Vietnam and was fully deserving
of his medals.
While there was some
media investigation of Bush's Guard service towards the beginning
of the year, the spring offensive against Kerry drew attention away for
a while, but
not completely.
Aside from the extensive Wikipedia link, there are some good summaries
of Bush's
National Guard record based on information to date are here,
here,
and here.
A very nicely well-documented and detailed comparison of Kerry and
Bush's service records, with timelines, can be found here.
The issue of Bush's Guard service really came roaring back, though, on
September 8, 2004, when CBS's 60
Minutes did a little story involving some old memos....
A
Brief History of the CBS Memos:
Wednesday, September 8: a 60 Minutes report (well, actually,
closer to 12½ minutes) with Dan Rather described how Bush got
special treatment in the Texas Air National Guard when when he wasn't
"fulfilling his commitments." For proof, four memos were brought
up that are described as being "from the personal files of the late
Col. Jerry Killian, Bush's squadron commander." Rather also reports
that 60 Minutes consulted a "handwriting
analyst and document
expert who believes the material is authentic."
Prior to the airing, CBS provided copies of the
memos to the White House and interviewed White House Communications
Director Dan Bartlett regarding the issue. Bartlett doesn't deny
anything in the memos, but claims the issue is no more than
"partisan politics." The White House e-mails copies of the four memos
in the 60 Minutes report to reporters and editors across the
country. These are the same memo copies they got from CBS the day
before.
USA Today also gets copies of the memos, but directly from the source
that 60 Minutes used:
former National
Guard Lieutenant Colonel Bill Burkett.
The memos immediately started getting dissected
on the Internet, most notably by the right-wing blog site, Powerlineblog.com. But
Powerline was just following up on a post at another right-wing blog
site, Freerepublic.com, by
someone using the alias "Buckhead."
(The Los Angeles Times later uncovers the
identity of Buckhead: he's actually Harry MacDougald, a right-wing
Republican lawyer from Atlanta, Georgia.)
The following day, the 60 Minutes
story gets
decent news coverage across the country. Charges that the memos CBS
used were forged start to spread through the Internet. The
forgery
charges start to appear in the mainstream press the day after. Experts
of all dubious stripes were brought out to comment on the memos. Most
if not all of the "analyses" were, well, pretty damn stupid, and
indicated little or no research into the type of office equipment that
was available back in the early 70's. (You would have thought that
before computers, there was only this thing called a "Selectric"...)
Regardless of this, CBS's
credibility started coming under serious attack from both
Internet and
mainstream
sources.
Wednesday, September 15: a week later, Rather interviews
Killian's former secretary, Marian
Carr Knox. She tells him that she
did not type the memos and believes they are forgeries, but that "the
information in those is correct." This doesn't exactly help CBS's case.
Monday, September 20: CBS, in
the face of all the criticisms and attacks, backs down. They reveal
that Burkett was their source and that he admits to deliberately
misleading CBS about where he got the documents from. Rather
apologizes
with an "I'm sorry."
Thursday,
September 24:
More documents are belated
released by the Department of
Defense without any good explanation for their delay. In this
collection is this little gem. Here's a
very interesting excerpt from that document:
Notice anything funny about it aside from it being a little bit warped?
Try lining up the characters vertically. Better yet, count out the
first 10 characters, including spaces, for line 3 and then do the same
for line 2 above and line 4 below. You will see that lines 2 & 4
have only 9 characters for line 3's 10. Even better, do the same for
the all-caps bottom line -- you will then see that you get only 7
characters for line 3's 10. This is because narrow characters, like a
lower case "i," are taking up less space than wider characters,
especially capitalized letters, in this document. That means one thing.
Yes, this is a
proportionally spaced document!?!
(For the fuzzy-eyed, I've created a rulered version here.)
This is
actually a proportionally spaced document that should have
been released back in February along with the bulk
of Bush's records. It somehow instead ended up being held all the way
through the attacks on CBS, most of which centered on the proportional
spacing issue. And when it finally does appear, it's just 4 days after
CBS had given up on the memos. Draw your own conclusions.
By the way, it looks to my now fairly expert eye that it was composed
on an IBM Executive typewriter.
Tuesday, November 23: Dan
Rather announces that he will step down as anchor and managing
editor of the CBS Evening News in March, 24 years after his first
broadcast in that position. Most news coverage of this has been more or
less balanced, touching upon highlights of his lengthy career, but the
memos "controversy" always gets the most prominent mention. Of
course, there were also plenty of moronic "fake memos" comments from
the
usual sources like Fox News
(John Gibson) and places like this.
I personally feel that he always meant well, which makes him a better
person than at least 98% of his right wing critics, but aside from
that, I'm still not very happy with him and CBS in general, to put it
mildly, over their
total mishandling of the Killian memos -- that essentially took Bush's
Guard service off the table as an election issue, and in an election so
close.....
A
Summary of Bush's Guard Service
Culled from a Myriad of Sources:
In May, 1968, over 300 American soldiers were being killed on
average
each week in Vietnam. Yale soon-to-be-graduate George W. Bush was only
twelve days away from losing his student draft deferment when on May
27, he enlisted in the Texas Air National Guard ("TANG") for a 6 year
stint. At the time Bush graduated from Yale, his father, Bush Sr. was a
Texas Congressman, which very likely was a teensy bit of a factor in
how Bush Jr. managed to make it to the top of a waiting list of 500
trying to get into the Texas Guard despite poor
scores on his pilot aptitude test -- Bush had only scored in the
25th percentile, the lowest possible passing grade.
In 1999, Ben Barnes -- who was speaker of the Texas House of
Representatives in 1968 -- testified
under oath in an unrelated lawsuit that he had put in a good word
for Bush with Guard officials at the request of a Bush family friend,
Sidney Adger.
Adger had two sons in a very special unit of TANG, the 147th
Fighter Group, a "Champagne
Unit" that also included the son of
former Gov. John Connally, both sons of Sen. Lloyd Bentsen, Bobby
Sakowaitz (a wealthy Houston department store owner), the grandson of
H.L. Hunt, and supposedly at least seven members of the Dallas
Cowboys football team. And it was this unit that Bush Jr. ended up
joining.
Regardless of the reasons or what strings were pulled, Bush Jr.
in, by all accounts at least acceptably performed his duty
duringhis first
few years of Guard service. He completed pilot training in June 1970
and was rated to fly an F-102,
an interceptor jet. There is a widely quoted and widely disputed George Magazine
article from October, 2000 that presents a pretty benign view of
Bush's Guard performance and service. But other
evidence suggests
otherwise, that Bush had trouble with the F-102 and was put back on
flying a T-33, a
training jet.
It's Bush's service record starting from about mid-1972, the beginning
of his
5th year of service, that's much more dubious and sketchy, and where
the bulk of the controversies lie (so to speak), including the CBS
memos. The military paper trail rather inconveniently (or conveniently,
depending on your viewpoint) falls off from about this point.
Click to enlarge.
The Air National Guard
had a point system based on
duty time, and there
was a minimum of 50 points that all Guardsmen had to accumulate per
year to meet minimum requirements. During Bush's first two years, he
did very well: 253 points for his 1st year and then 340 for his
2nd.
His points fell off a bit during his 3rd and 4th years: 137 and then
112. For his 5th year, 1972-73, beginning on the anniversary on his
enlistment in May, he only got 56 points,
just 6 over the minimum, but this
includes an automatic 15 "gratuitous" points just for being a Guardsman.
He
apparently only accumulated the bare minimul 50 points for his 6th and
last
year of service, 1973-74. (It's been reported elsewhere
that it was another 56 points, but a copy of an official record I
have below indicates only 50.)
Bush's
point records for his last 2 years of service:
Points collected by Bush for his
5th year of service. He needs to accumulate a minimal
of 50. The above totals to
only 41, but that doesn't include the 15 he gets automatically
just for being in the Guard so the actual total is 56.
Points collected by Bush for his
6th and last year of service. By my math, he
just barely makes it: 35 + 15 = 50. Also note how only 3 months are
involved,
with the bulk of the points coming in July.
Correction. It has come to my
attention that since Bush left Guard service early ,
he was not entitled to 15 gratuitous points for his last year -- just
5. This means
his true total is actually only 40
points -- 10 less than the minimal! This is
reflected in Bush's "ARF Retirement Credit
Summary" prepared Jan. 30, 1974.
This is the pertinent excerpt:
Do the math: 19+16 =
35 35 + 5 = 40!
Bush's Guard
Service Timeline
The following
are the highlights of Bush's last 2 years of service, including
where (and how
well) the CBS memos (in
red) fit in. Also USA Today included
2 additional
Killian memos in their strangely fuzzier PDF collection of
the
CBS memos
(yeah, I know that doesn't make sense), so I've included
those
in this color.
February 2, 1972: A brief
note from Killian asking Harris for an update about the flight
qualifications of Bush and some other guy named Bath..
May-November, 1972:
Bush
in Alabama worked on the Senate campaign
of family friend Winton Blount.
May 4, 1972: Killian orders
Bush to report to
Ellington AFB no later than May 14th for his annual physical.
May
19, 1972: Killian notes a phone
discussion he had with Bush.
Bush wanted to "get out of coming to drill from now through
November" and to get a transfer to Alabama in order to work on a
political campaign. "The issue of the medical test is discussed."
May 24, 1972: Bush applies for
equivalent training at 9921st Air Reserve
Squadron at Alabama's Maxwell Air Force Base, and this is approved by
Lt. Col. Reese H. Bricken,
commander of the 9921st, a
couple of days later.
Summer 1972: Bush attends GOP
convention in Miami with his father.
(FYI -- the Watergate
break-in occurs June 17)
July 31, 1972: the Air
Reserve
Personnel Center in Denver, the final approval authority,
rejects Bush's reassignment request
to the 9921st, stating that as
"an obligated Reservist" he could only be "assigned to a specific Ready
Reserve Position."
August
1, 1972: Killian orders Bush
suspended for failing to taking the
required physical.
"1. On this date I ordered that 1st Lt. Bush be suspended from flight
status due to failure to perform to USAF/TexANG standards and failure
to meet annual physical examination (flight) as ordered."
2. I conveyed my verbal orders to commander; 147th Ftr Intrcp Gp with
request for orders for suspension and convening of a flight review
board IAW AFM 35-13."
August 1, 1972: Bush
is verbally suspended from flying status for failing
to take his
annual physical.
September 5, 1972: Bush again requests a
temporary transfer to Alabama to "perform equivalent duty," this
time to serve September,
October, and November with Montgomery, Alabama's 187th Tactical Recon
Group. This is also the date that his suspension
becomes official.
September 15, 1972: Bush's transfer request is approved by Capt. Kenneth K. Lott. Bush is
ordered to report to Lt. Col. William
Turnipseed at Alabama's 187th Tactical Recon Group. His "Unit
Assembly Schedule" is set for Oct. 7-8 and Nov. 4-5, and at 7:30am -
4:00pm for each of the days.
October 7-8, November 4-5, 1972:
Bush is supposed to report for
duty in Alabama, but
doesn't show up. The only record tying Bush to the 187th is a
dental exam in January, 1973. Records
released by the White House show Bush's late1972 duty was
performed not on the days ordered, but on Oct. 28-29 &
Nov. 11-14. One possible mitigating
factor for October is that Bush's grandfather, though, former
Sen. Prescott Bush, dies
of cancer, October 8th and Bush serves as a pallbearer at the
funeral in Greenwich, Connecticut.
November, 1972: Winton Blount
loses his bid for the Senate, and Bush
moves back to Houston, but
apparently not to Guard duty (see the following May 2nd entry.) The Winton
Blount campaign is mentioned in Bush's transfer
request from earlier in May to be reassigned to the 9921st.
January 6, 1973: Bush has a dental exam at the Donnelly Air National
Guard base in Alabama. This is apparently the only official record,
aside from nondescriptive points records, showing Bush to be on base in
Alabama at any time.
May 2, 1973: The annual rating
(evaluation) report for Bush, covering his
5th year (May 1, 1972 - April 30, 1973),
states that he could not be rated because "he has not been observed
during the period of the report." This report was signed by Lieutenant Colonels William Harris and
Jerry Killian.
June 24, 1973: Killian
reponds to a request from the 111th for an evaluation of Bush. His
response is virtually exactly
the same as the
authenticated May 2nd document above, that neither he nor Lt. Colonel
Harris can rate Bush since he was not with the 111th since April, 1972.
(aka "not observed").
June 29, 1973: An official request is
made by Master Sgt. Daniel P. Harkness
for an explanation or more information regarding the missing rating
report. "This officer should have been reassigned in May 1972 since he
no longer is training in his AFSC ("Air Force Service Category") or
with his unit of assignment."
August 18, 1973: Killian's now infamous "CYA" memo basically complains about the pressure
to cover for Bush's absence during his rating period. "Bush
wasn't here during rating period and I don't have any feedback from
187th in Alabama. I will not rate. Austin is not happy today either."
September 5, 1973: Bush again requests a discharge from TANG and a
reassignment to the air reserves (ARPC)
in order to attend the Harvard Business School.
Note:
it's unclear when Bush moved to Cambridge, MA to start his Harvard
classes. Most sources have it vaguely as September, 1973, but classes
for the MBA Program actually begin before the end of August, with
orientation a week before that. So
it's likely that Bush was living in Cambridge by August, 1973.
October 1, 1973: Bush is officially discharged from TANG and
becomes a reservist, almost 8 months before his contracted separation
date of May 26, 1974.
November 12, 1973: Harkness's
request was evidently denied by Major
Rufus G. Martin, and with not much of an explanation:
November 8, 1974: Bush sends in
his resignation letter from
reserve duty, a copy of which only very recently mysteriously
appeared.
November 21, 1974: Bush
receives his full discharge from all
military obligations.
Important Note:
Even though Bush was evidently reassigned to the Alabama 187th,
official records about his service there are very noticeably lacking,
to the point that it doesn't get a mention at all both in his official "Chronological Listing of Service" and in
this undated, but Pentagon-supplied "Military
Biography." This is an excerpt from the Biography:
Where's Alabama?
Also take note of the
superscripting, which you might remember as being one of the supposed
issues that stirred the forgery charges. The Service Chronology also
has a superscripted "th," but you really have to look for it.
As
you can see
from the above, ALL of the supposedly discredited memos fit
perfectly, in both date and content, with all other information,
including the documents released by the White House. |
|
Now to the
font/superscript/proportional spacing BS....
Preface/Rant
There was a huge journalistic lapse on the CBS memos story, but not in
the way that's now become virtual folklore. The biggest failure was by
CBS -- for the lack of courage they showed in the face of a mostly a
right wing attack campaign, and not really for valid journalistic
reasons. The attacks focused on minor oddities in the documents while
disingenuously ignoring how the actual contents were extremely well
supported, to say the least, by all other evidence, from official
military records to the vast bulk of recollections of people from
that time and place. The forgery notion was extremely illogical from
the get-go. The contents of the memos simply added to the still growing
evidence that Bush had a very sketchy attendance record during his last
couple of years in the Guard. This in itself would not have been a big
issue at all if Republican strategists and their proxies hadn't made
such a big effort to slander -- and "slander" is the correct term --
Kerry's vastly much more noteworthy and noble military service.
Some Democrats have floated the idea that Republican strategist Karl
Rove might have been behind the forgeries. That's not such a reach at
all IF the CBS memos were forgeries -- you would just have to look at
the basic economics of who would gain the most:
1) If they were forged but
undetected
They are a minor news
item. Before the forgery accusations took over, the CBS memos were
widely disseminated as just shedding "new light" on Bush's Guard duty,
but not adding anything really new. There were already piles of
evidence for Bush having a very, very dubious record of service: he was
suspended in 1972 for skipping a required physical and never flew for
the military again; there are discrepancies in his pay records; he
resigned early from the Guard because he had "inadequate time to
fulfill possible future commitments"; and numerous records are
inexplicably missing. Aside from the details of Bush's resignation --
the actual letter mysteriously was "found" at the end of September --
this was stuff already known when CBS aired the memos story. All the
memos added were a few more details and some dollops of Killian's
opinions regarding Bush and issues surrounding him -- all very minor
points in context and unlikely to hurt Bush and/or help Kerry much if
at all.
2) If the they were forged and detected
You have a very,
very different situation, as has been the case so far: the right wing
gets a club to attack an old favorite target, Dan Rather, as well as
CBS News and all of the "lying liberal media" in general; a shadow is
cast on all of the other records, however impeccable and official,
showing Bush shirking his Guard duty, thereby creating a wash of sorts
(if only for the weak-minded) between Bush's military service and
Kerry's; and conspiracy charges, however totally baseless, can be
brought against the Kerry campaign. All of which amounts to a much ,
much bigger bonus for the Bush campaign than the first scenario would
be Kerry.
3) Following the money
If you go by who would have the most to gain and the least to lose by
forging the memos, the Bush side would be the most suspect: little or
no loss if the
forgery is undetected; a big gain if it is.Whereas if it was done on
the Kerry side, the converse would be true: little or no gain if the
forgery is undetected; a big loss if it is. Always look at who gets to
win big.
It would have been a brilliant, if
totally underhanded, tactical move
on the Bush side except for one little thing: the memos weren't forged. At the very, very
worst, they're transcriptions.
The
Evidence Against Them Being
Forgeries
1) Logic
As I have hopefully demonstated, the contents
and timeline of the memos are
extremely well collaborated by other sources. I will go in one of the
memos in more detail to demonstrate it even further.
This is one of the CBS memos that
has
now been "discredited":
So Killian, as Bush's commander,
orders the suspension for failing to take the annual physical exam.
This was a verbal
order, but was conveyed to the 147th Fighter Intercept Group commander,
Colonel Bobby Hodges, as per "IAW 35-13," which I assume are the
regulations that apply here.
Now this is an authenticated
document
released by the White House:
Besides confirming the Bush
suspension, it also shows that the official order comes from the 147th
Fighter Group
commander, Bobby Hodges, and that
the order was effective on August 1, 1972, the same date on the Killian
memo.
And this is another supporting
document -- look
towards the bottom
of page 2.
This is the pertinent excerpt:
Note
again all of the corresponding points from dates to cited regulations.
Now also the 3rd paragraph in the "fake" memo -- this says that Killian
had recommended transfer of Bush to the 9921st Air Reserve Squadron in
May, and forwarded his AF Form 1288 to the 147th Fighter Intercept
Group headquarters, but that the transferred was not allowed.
Again, this is backed up 100% by DOD records:
Bush's AF
Form 1288 application for transfer to the 9921st
Rejection
and return of Bush's AF Form 1288 transfer request
Lastly, note how this particular memo is basically all military serious
and contains no personal criticisms or asides as was with the CYA memo.
The closest is "Officer has made no attempt to meet his training
certification or flight physical," but that appears to be exactly the
case, and hence an official observation. Since this memo contains no
information that doesn't appear somewhere else, why "forge" it then?
Seriously, what's the point if it doesn't contain anything whatsoever
above and
beyond other, more authenticated DOD records? The CYA memo at least had
some nice extra little personal comments about "pressure,"
"sugercoating," and how people were unhappy with the Bush
situation, but this memo is all dry business.
Again, what would have been the point of forging it?
How
do you like
them apples?
By all accounts, Killian was meticulous about writing exactly
this sort of memo and then saving it away as a journal record in case
of any questions up the road. So logically, Killian would have written
up a memo exactly like this. Bush didn't show up for a required
physical, apparently without a good reason, Killian verbally
suspended
him, relayed the order and the reasons for it to the base commander,
Hodges, and then brought up the need to find a replacement flier. This
is exactly the sort of stuff that would be noted down and filed away.
So if this isn't the "true" Killian memo, then where is the "real" one,
along with all the others that Killian's
secretary, Knox, said she typed up regularly for him?
While Knox says she never typed up those particular memos, she's on
record saying “The information in here was correct, but it was picked
up from the real ones ...I probably typed the information and somebody
picked up the information some way or another.”
Robert Strong, an old friend of Killian and who was an administrative
officer at the base at the time, is likewise on record saying, "Well,
they are compatible with the way business was done at that time. They
are compatible with the man that I remember Jerry Killian being....I
didn't see anything that was inconsistent with how we did business...It
looked like the sort of thing that Jerry Killian would have done or
said. He was a very professional guy."
Again, you have both DOD records and close associates of Killian
totally vouching for the contents of the memos.
So in order to believe the forgery story, you would also have to
believe that:
1) The forger had access to
both official military records and inside
information not in any official records in order create the contents of
the memos. All that was added aside from what already known was a few
references to protective favoritism towards Bush.
2) That the forger, having
taken the time time to gather up all that
information, would skip using one of the many, many IBM Selectrics
still in service and instead type them up in Microsoft Word.
3) The the forger would
re-re-re-photocopy and/re-re-re-fax them to
make them look old and then arrange for them to be passed on to CBS.
4) And that the forger would
make all that effort, including one very
sloppy mistake, just to create what was basically a rehash of
existing information.
5) As I pointed out earlier,
the most to gain by all of this effort
would be the Bush side, but that would imply an intelligent
cunning that's not otherwise exactly obviously present. Deviousness,
yes, but cunning....no.
So where is the
logic in the forgery premise if the contents are real?
2) Fun with
Fonts
A quick close scrutiny of the "CYA" memo by anyone with any sort
of extensive knowledge of computer printers, old and new, would have
thrown an awful lot of doubt on the Word Times New Roman "theory" to
say the least.
Here is the CYA memo in full:
3)
What devices
could print
proportionally, superscript, etc., at the time of the memos?
Such an basic question in all of this, but one that has provoked the
most bizarre "answers." When all these alleged experts came out of the
woodwork and started talking about Selectrics versus Word, alarm bells
should have gone off. There were many, many brands and models of
typewriters then, and a good many of those with special features. It
says a lot about the quality of research that was done when it was
Killian's former secretary, Marian Carr Knox, who broke the news that
it was actually easy to superscript because her old Olympia typewriter
at least had a simple key to do a superscripted "th".
My own research quickly brought in two likely suspects: the IBM
Executive typewriter and, um, something else.
The
IBM
Executive Typewriter
I actually have a friend who not only use to have an old IBM Executive,
but still had a copy of a manual he created on it.
He thinks this Model "C" looks closest to the
model he had (it came out in 1959):
This is his description of it:
The "AutoTest 704" manual I provided
was typed with an IBM Executive electric typewriter, which I believe
used the "IBM 12-point boldface No. 1 - proportional spacing"
font. I think it was a model C (see picture below). It was
a proportional-spacing conventional (not Selectric) typewriter commonly
used for publications work. It had interchangeable type bars (the
striker levers with the keys) which contained various characters, such
as, for example, a superscript or subscript "2", copyright or trademark
symbols, etc. I remember there were a few levers -- two to
four on each end of the basket -- that could be quickly snapped out and
replaced with special characters. I recall having a "rack" of
type bars with special characters on them.
All the equations and superscripts in
the sample I sent were typed directly on the typewriter (e.g. nothing
was cut-and-pasted into place). Because the type was 12 point,
the original was typed on oversize paper (larger than 8.5" x 11") and
reduced. I'm not sure of the reduction of the samples I provided,
but I think it was between 80% and 90%.
And these are some samples from his "AutoTest 704" manual:
Some full page samples are here, here, and here.
Now look at these two samples. The
first is from Word, the other is from the Executive sample above:
And then look at this excerpt from
the CYA memo:
Look very carefully at the "m",
"r" and "u's" and compare them to those in "Shutter time." It's those
little details...
So, Selectric, Schlectric -- basically
the much more conventional
looking IBM Executive could proportionally print, super and subscript,
it came with a variety of interchangeable type bars, and the shape and
style of its characters are more in line with the memos than MS Word
Times New Roman is.
But...
I did an experiment where I tried to duplicate a section of the manual
in Word:
The top is from the Executive, the bottom is the Word copy. While both
are proportionally spaced, Word does it more tightly. It is possible
that a different typeface might have made a difference, and if it was a
Model D (which came out in 1967) instead of a "C", but I don't think
so. You really need a device with true microspacing, like, say,
something like this:
This is a
Diablo Systems daisywheel printer/terminal
Diablo came out with is daisywheel
printers in 1969. It's founder, David Lee,
sold the company to Xerox in 1972, and he ended founding another
daisywheel printer company called Qume in 1973. Diablos and Qumes used
the same interchangeable daisywheel type element and there were
hundreds of type styles available, not including custom ones. I came
across a couple some Xerox printwheel sample sheets, including this:
Another descriptive sheet of printwheel fonts is here.
Pitch, proportional spacing, kerning, etc, was all done under computer
control. Before laser printers came, daisywheel printers (and later
one, NEC
Spinwriters using a thimble-shaped print element) were "the" way to go
for LQ (letter quality) printing.
They were initially connected to large computer centers and dedicated
word processors, and then later were very commonly used throughout the
early CP/M and DOS
computer days. The once popular WordStar word
processing program fully supported Diablo and Qume printers, which
allowed complete control over document appearance.
As another experiment, that same friend who had the Executive also had
some old daisywheel printers in a shed. One was a Qume, and two were
Qumes modified by Digital Equipment Corporation (LQP02). He also still
had a copy of WordStar. The first Qume, though, only gave out a puff of
smoke when we plugged it in. We had much better luck with one of the
DEC Qumes, but that had a completely different set of control codes
from the standard Qume, so WordStar was useless. We also only had two
printwheels, Bookface Academic and Prestige Elite.
I took the DEC Qume home with me to try a few things out. It would have
been great if I could get it to proportionally print but nothing I had,
including WordPerfect for DOS, supported it, and I wasn't about to
program my own character map. I tried sending a code for 12 pitch while
still using the Bookface printwheel, which is suppose to be 10 pitch.
That was interesting and I got this before I ran out of ribbon at the
end:
Not proportional, but not too shabby. I think I would need a custom
printwheel for the superscript "th" but not bad.
overall.
4) How
would Killian have access to a daisywheel printer?
Short answer: a law firm.
While daisywheels were quickly adopted by computing centers, they were
also very popular with law firms, typically combined with a dedicated
word processor, a large bulky computer that did nothing except word
processing. In the early 70's, brands like Vydec, Lexitron and Linolex
got things rolling. Later on WangWriters and IBM Displaywriters became
very popular.
Vydec Model 1800 Word Processor at the Rhode Island Computer Museum
If Killian did indeed use a lawfirm to type up and presumably file away
some memos, this might well explain where the memos came from and why
nobody is talking.
5) Why would
Killian use a law firm?
The timeline I came up from all the
records indicate that Bush was a problem soldier for his last 2 years
of duty. I personally don't know how serious or how common it was for
people to blow off their guard duty, but Bush obviously did so to some
extent and apparently was able to get away with it aside from his
suspension for skipping a physical. If this was a serious issue, but
Bush was being protected by powerful family connections, Killian may
well have felt a bit antsy about having anything to do with it in case
of possible scapegoating or blowback down the line. Consulting a law
firm
would have been a
very prudent action. His memos, which he apparently used for a journal
records, may then have been retyped up for clarity.
If you were in Killian's place, what would you do?
Also
if the memos were created at a law firm, that might explain where they
came from -- the memos that Killian's secretary had type up and kept on
base were all evidently trashed or destroyed at some point. A law firm,
though, would have been much more likely to have archived them in some
fashion.
Conclusions
CBS News, as well as the Boston Globe,
the New York Times, the Washington Post, and such had the
resources to at least have a few earnest, bright interns do a
little bit of
research before blindly and timidly accepting the laughably inadequate
analyses being done by highly dubious bloggers, experts, and
people
and
organizations in general looking to discredit both the story and Dan
Rather, as well as throw doubt on all the other much less suspect
evidence to Bush's Guard duty or lack thereof.
What is REALLY lamentable was that those interns may have discovered
that the contents of the August 1, 1972
memo where Killian writes about
suspending young Bush for failing to show up for a medical exam is
directly corroborated by four other
authenticated military documents, as well as indirectly
by a 5th.
Trickier, but those theoretical interns may have also discovered that
the individual fonts used in the CYA memo actually didn't match up that
well at all with not just Word, but with any modern PC/printer
combination. Indeed the nature of the very noticeable unevenness in the
printing of
the CYA memo strongly implied that an old mechanical system was being
used. So the question then should
have been: what possible typewriter
or printing system could have existed in 1972/73 that could
proportionally
print and superscript like that?
We all have become seduced into thinking that you can find anything on
Google if you look hard
enough, but Google can only index information
that people have made an effort to put on the Web in some form. If
you're talking about a technology
that was obsolete before there was
even a Web, things can get very sketchy.
But I'm not feeling particularly pleased with myself about what all my
research and sampling has uncovered -- it was really, REALLY time
consuming and I have other things I much rather focus on. And it wasn't
my job -- it was CBS's. And the Boston Globe's, and ABC's, and the New
York
Times',
and CNN's, and basically any "news" organization that prides itself as
being responsible
journalists who do their homework and try to keep its
viewers or readers as well-informed on facts as much as possible.
The true lapse in the National Guard story was how news
organizations failed so miserably in this
case. Instead of concentrating some resources into digging deeper to
reconcile the central "mystery" of how the contents could be true but
not the documents themselves, they all took instead the tabloid route
to report only on the specious he said/she said aspects of a wholly
contrived controversy, or else simply relayed some of the bogus
analyses of the memos without really looking at what they were relaying.
And when the
Pentagon quietly released more of Bush's records on Sept. 24th,
apparently nobody in the press paid much heed, even though one of the
documents was proportionally spaced --
the central reason for the origin of all those forgery charges leveled
against
the CBS memos.
Bush himself has been acting exactly like a thoroughly guilty man who
got off on a technicality or through some ethnically dubious wheeling
and dealing. He's been mostly standing back and letting others,
including his wife, spin things with the basic mantra going something
like "He was honorably
discharged, end of story."
There have been direct answers whatsoever in regards to how very
sketchy his Guard service evidently was during his last two years of
service. And even basic questions about the authenticity of the CBS
memos have also also been deflected.
For example, check out the "answer" White
House Communications Director
Dan Bartlett gave to "Stephen
from Colorado Springs" when asked
about the CYA memo during an "Ask the White House" Q&A session.
(http://www.whitehouse.gov/ask/20040921.html)
*********
Stephen, from Colorado Springs, CO
writes:
"Dan, Why is it that the president or you will not declare that the
documents (CYA Memos) are false and untrue? Certainly if the documents
are fakes, then the information in them is false as well."
Let's hear you and Mr. Bush say they are false and untrue accusations
and we can settle all this mess.
Dan Bartlett:
"We don't have the technical expertise to determine if they were fake
or not. Remember, these supposedly came from the personal files of man
who died more than 20 years ago. Thankfully, a lot of expert bloggers
and other news organizations did get to the bottom this growing
scandal."
*********
("Expert
bloggers!!??")
It wasn’t CBS’s failure to sufficiently authenticate the memos that was
the cause of the dark day for journalism – it was the totally
spineless, confused and researched-challenged behavior
of both CBS and the more responsible media that allowed rumors,
outright
lies and conspiracy
theories to completely overwhelm whatever
facts there were, as well as basically allow the bad guys to win the
day. If a right wing newsperson like Bill O’Reilly says something
that’s not quite true – even if it’s a whopper – liberals and leftists
in general will likely only roll their eyes. (“Well, what do you expect
– he’s Bill O’Reilly”) but liberal-leaning newspeople like Dan Rather
(and "leaning" is the right word when you compare his mostly dry
rhetoric over the years to any conservative newsman, leaning, falling,
or otherwise), regardless of how seldom they make mistakes, get
crucified when a mistake is made. “Rathergate”
indeed.
The memos and the consequent firestorm illustrates how very difficult
it is for the average person to be well informed on anything these
days. Instead of being authoritative and making good use of their much
greater resources, the mainstream media ended up being no more than
faces in an increasingly large crowd of information
peddlers –
dubious and
otherwise
But the big issue isn't about the
poor service of the press, or even really about Bush's Guard service
from over 30
years ago. He wasn't exactly the only rich boy from a very influential
family who was able to escape being sent to Vietnam via National Guard
service, and who was later able to get away with slacking off as the
Vietnam
War wound down. It was this whole recent business with the CBS Killian
memos that really speaks volumes about Bush's true moral character. He,
far better than anyone else, knows what he did and didn't do while
he was in the Guard, and yet he chose to stay silent on the key
issues throughout the entire turmoil over the memos, letting others to
confuse, deny, and outright lie in his behalf.
Regardless of what he did or didn't do back then, if he was an
honorable man now, he would have stood up and owed up to his past
actions instead of letting others get into trouble over them.
And just
what was up
with that withholding of the proportional spaced document?
And I think
that's it, except to say that no smart, well informed and
ethical person voted for Bush this year.
-BC